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Flight MH 370 #1478460
11/03/2014 16:32
11/03/2014 16:32

N
Nobby
Unregistered
Nobby
Unregistered
N



I keep reading more and more stories about this seemingly tragic flight and we all hope of a happy outcome, but one thing has got me riled (sp?) is all the random theories that have come out. I'm not talking about terrorism or dodgy passports but about what would the pilots do....

Is there no standard procedure in aviation in the advent of failures?

There is a huge area of sea and land to be searched for but it strikes me that if there were standard procedures to be followed by the aircrew then the search could be narrowed down vastly.

The way I see it there are 3 scenarios:
A. Something fails and you can't get to your destination
B. Something fails and you can get to your destination (but may have trouble communicating OR navigating OR both).
C. Something fails and you don't realises it.

Possible outcome of A:
- turn back
- go to nearest available runway
- crash (with imminent failures)
- planned crash (if there is such a thing - i.e the NY river landing last year).

Possible outcome for B:
- keep going
- turn back
- go to nearest available runway

Scenario C is a tough one. You could end up in miles away from your destination without fuel and no time to rectify it. Do the pilots keep constant communication with ground crew whilst they are say, mid-Atlantic?. Communication is key here in the event of problems and if there is none then we shouldn't have to guess what might have happened.

Anyway, just my two penneth.

Re: Flight MH 370 [Re: ] #1478467
11/03/2014 17:35
11/03/2014 17:35
Joined: Dec 2005
Posts: 21,071
Chertsey in the Thames
bockers Offline
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Chertsey in the Thames
Yes there are standard procedures. But you have just highlighted the issue. No one yet knows what, if anything, was wrong with the aircraft. Therefore many of the above scenarios apply and more and no one can be sure which one the pilots were executing. Hence why the task is a nightmare and the search area so large.

Re: Flight MH 370 [Re: ] #1478472
11/03/2014 17:43
11/03/2014 17:43
Joined: Jan 2006
Posts: 5,294
Portsmouth
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ali_hire Offline
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Portsmouth
I can only imagine that something went wrong with the plane which forced it down AND something went wrong with communications meaning they couldn't call in a mayday or their position, etc.

Re: Flight MH 370 [Re: ] #1478476
11/03/2014 18:44
11/03/2014 18:44

T
TbirdX
Unregistered
TbirdX
Unregistered
T



There are many possible explanations but the fact no Mayday was sent is worrying.
It could be hijack, unlikely but you can't rule it out.

It could be terrorism, ie a bomb, but you'd have thought that they'd have found wreckage by now. Still, can't rule it out.

It could be sudden and catastrophic failure, like a mid air break up or other mechanical issue. Again the wreckage issue rears up. Still, can't rule it out yet either.

It could be pilot error. Quite often, especially as planes get more complex, crews fail to understand the readings and warnings a planes flight management systems will give them. It could well be that the pilots didn't realise the danger the aircraft was in until it was far too late.

Re: Flight MH 370 [Re: ] #1478482
11/03/2014 20:16
11/03/2014 20:16
Joined: Jun 2006
Posts: 23,300
North Wales
Theresa Offline
Former Presidentessa Club member 58
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I just think that it's a bit mad and weird that in this day and age, regardless of whether it could be terrorism, malfunction, etc., that this plane and all it's passengers are missing without trace frown

Re: Flight MH 370 [Re: ] #1478484
11/03/2014 20:23
11/03/2014 20:23
Joined: Jul 2012
Posts: 1,650
Dark side of the Moon
H_R Offline
My life on the forum
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Posts: 1,650
Dark side of the Moon
My thoughts are with the people on board we flew to oz with Malaysian airways who were really attentive and hard working!
Each day more info seems to come out and with the fact that they apparently turned back (but I don't know how far or if it was a stable course)I would geuss for some reason whatever that may be they must of had a TOTAL electrical failure including all backup systems and perhaps attempted to return to the nearest safe haven perhaps even gliding obviously not far for a Boeing jet
Terrorists want the fame and glory if I can comfortably use those expressions and Malaysia is not involved in any political issues that I'm aware of so that sort of rules that out in my head anyway

Whatever happened let's hope for a good outcome no matter how unlikely that is likely to be
I can't stop checking the news on this it's so sad!

Re: Flight MH 370 [Re: ] #1478485
11/03/2014 20:24
11/03/2014 20:24
Joined: Jan 2006
Posts: 3,069
cjh Offline
I need some sleep
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Posts: 3,069
Am I just naive to think they would have a black box and transponder, which are able to withstand an explosion and simply tracked via GPRS ?

Maybe I dreamt it?



"Storm Brewing" +
Re: Flight MH 370 [Re: ] #1478487
11/03/2014 20:41
11/03/2014 20:41
Joined: Jun 2006
Posts: 5,244
Watford, Herts.
H
Hyperlink Offline
Forum is my life
Hyperlink  Offline
Forum is my life
H

Joined: Jun 2006
Posts: 5,244
Watford, Herts.
I think this may turn into another AF447. it took the french many years to finally locate that plane so I see no reason to to expect anyone else to fair any better given the same situation.

Re: Flight MH 370 [Re: Hyperlink] #1478488
11/03/2014 20:49
11/03/2014 20:49
Joined: Dec 2005
Posts: 4,831
Haslemere, Surrey
M
Mark_S Offline
Forum is my job
Mark_S  Offline
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M

Joined: Dec 2005
Posts: 4,831
Haslemere, Surrey
Heard on radio that AF was found by a probability mapping exercise.


997 C4S
Re: Flight MH 370 [Re: ] #1478490
11/03/2014 20:56
11/03/2014 20:56
Joined: Jun 2006
Posts: 5,244
Watford, Herts.
H
Hyperlink Offline
Forum is my life
Hyperlink  Offline
Forum is my life
H

Joined: Jun 2006
Posts: 5,244
Watford, Herts.
Yes I think that was the case. Seems like it was a bit of a "perfect storm" so hopefully this new one won't take so long.

Re: Flight MH 370 [Re: H_R] #1478505
11/03/2014 21:54
11/03/2014 21:54

T
TbirdX
Unregistered
TbirdX
Unregistered
T



Originally Posted By: H_R
My thoughts are with the people on board we flew to oz with Malaysian airways who were really attentive and hard working!
Each day more info seems to come out and with the fact that they apparently turned back (but I don't know how far or if it was a stable course)I would geuss for some reason whatever that may be they must of had a TOTAL electrical failure including all backup systems and perhaps attempted to return to the nearest safe haven perhaps even gliding obviously not far for a Boeing jet
Terrorists want the fame and glory if I can comfortably use those expressions and Malaysia is not involved in any political issues that I'm aware of so that sort of rules that out in my head anyway

Whatever happened let's hope for a good outcome no matter how unlikely that is likely to be
I can't stop checking the news on this it's so sad!


Total electrical failure would be ultra rare. That would require both engines to be stopped completely. Even then, it would be usual for a ram air turbine to drop out and power basic flight systems, including the radio. Of course, I guess that system could fail also.
Gliding a commercial jet is tricky, but it can and has been done successfully many times.

Check out Transat 236 or the Gimli Glider for examples.

Re: Flight MH 370 [Re: cjh] #1478506
11/03/2014 22:00
11/03/2014 22:00

T
TbirdX
Unregistered
TbirdX
Unregistered
T



Originally Posted By: cjh
Am I just naive to think they would have a black box and transponder, which are able to withstand an explosion and simply tracked via GPRS ?

Maybe I dreamt it?


Aircraft black boxes are in fact, orange usually, to aid in their discovery. Some do have transmitters also but depending on the type and nature of 'crash' they may or may not function.
AF flight 447 that crashed in the Atlantic wasn't found for 2 years, even though wreckage and bodies were first found within 5 days of the aircraft going down. It crashed in 2009 and the black boxes were recovered in 2011 so we're not talking about old technologies either.

Re: Flight MH 370 [Re: ] #1478517
11/03/2014 22:28
11/03/2014 22:28
Joined: Dec 2005
Posts: 21,071
Chertsey in the Thames
bockers Offline
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Posts: 21,071
Chertsey in the Thames
I work in the industry and this aspect to me seems antiquated. I can be tracked to the nearest 5m if i have a cell phone on me. If I choose I can have everything I say and do recorded to the cloud as i go.

Yet we are scrabbling around for a location beacon that has a 100m range and could save over 200 souls. cry

All commercial aircraft should have the cockpit and blackbox data uploaded via satellite as they fly and not be waiting till we find the recorders. The technology is there and mature crazy:

Re: Flight MH 370 [Re: bockers] #1478522
11/03/2014 22:44
11/03/2014 22:44
Joined: Dec 2005
Posts: 12,546
Northumberland
A
AndrewR Offline
I AM a Coop
AndrewR  Offline
I AM a Coop
A

Joined: Dec 2005
Posts: 12,546
Northumberland
Originally Posted By: bockers
All commercial aircraft should have the cockpit and blackbox data uploaded via satellite as they fly and not be waiting till we find the recorders. The technology is there and mature


I heard that this hasn't happened because the flight crew don't like being spied on.


Dear monos, a secret truth.
Re: Flight MH 370 [Re: ] #1478527
11/03/2014 23:16
11/03/2014 23:16

S
Shifty
Unregistered
Shifty
Unregistered
S



Being so close to land I am more surprised that the plane wasn't tracked by radar? It looks like the we're looking in the wrong bit of ocean now. Are they so far behind us? There was a rumour that the uk air radar tracked the stealth bomber when it first came out and this lot can't tell what direction this plane went in.

Re: Flight MH 370 [Re: ] #1478543
12/03/2014 07:41
12/03/2014 07:41
Joined: Dec 2005
Posts: 33,553
Berlin
barnacle Offline
Club Member 18 - ex-Minister without Portfolio
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Posts: 33,553
Berlin
'Radar' means many things, but most of them aren't 'can see a plane at 200 miles' unless the military own it, and happen to be looking.

Commercial flight control radar is no such thing; a receiver on board the aircraft hears the radar ping and a transponder sends an agreed four-number code back to say who the plane is. The ground radar doesn't receive a reflection, just that squawk code.

Mode S transponders continuously (regularly) transmit course and altitude data - mostly so another plane might hear it and trigger the collision avoidance warning - and anyone can receive it but the range is limited - but look here: http://www.flightradar24.com/9.71,104.06/5 to see how much is flying in that neck of the woods... but also where it isn't, which is where they're looking.

Bob's 'log my life' capability relies on using a network of cell phone connections to allow data to pass continuously; even if cell phones were allowed to connect from altitude (they're not; the footprint affects too many hubs and confuses the system) it still wouldn't work over the ocean.

Using a dedicated satellite system would require either a few in the (crowded) geostationary orbit or a constellation of around a dozen nearer to home, plus all the infrastructure necessary to replace them as they die and to monitor them... billions of dollars. Even using existing commercial satellites still doesn't come cheap; several thousand dollars an hour for a low bitrate channel (though perhaps some of the satellite internet systems could be used). Either way, it's a hell of cost on every flight for a system that in the vast majority of cases is never used.

Last edited by barnacle; 12/03/2014 07:42.

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Re: Flight MH 370 [Re: ] #1478544
12/03/2014 07:47
12/03/2014 07:47

B
Big_Muzzie
Unregistered
Big_Muzzie
Unregistered
B



But was it so close to land? The AF flight that sadly went down was pilot error. It took 5 days over a very big area to find bits of floating debris.

This one seems strange, I've not seen a report about last location on radar or anything. The AF incident said straight away it was too far over the sea and hence not covered by land radar. They have searched both sides of the Malaysian peninsula, and a fair old chunk in what would be the wrong areas for the flight path. It feels a bit like someone isn't telling the whole truth. It wouldn't surprise me if the Chinese government were involved.

Re: Flight MH 370 [Re: ] #1478545
12/03/2014 07:49
12/03/2014 07:49

S
Shifty
Unregistered
Shifty
Unregistered
S



I didn't know that, thanks

Re: Flight MH 370 [Re: ] #1478549
12/03/2014 08:26
12/03/2014 08:26
Joined: Dec 2005
Posts: 4,831
Haslemere, Surrey
M
Mark_S Offline
Forum is my job
Mark_S  Offline
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M

Joined: Dec 2005
Posts: 4,831
Haslemere, Surrey
There was a report on Sky that somebody made a call to a passenger's mobile. They have tried repeating without luck.


997 C4S
Re: Flight MH 370 [Re: ] #1478583
12/03/2014 11:13
12/03/2014 11:13
Joined: Jun 2009
Posts: 116
Lancashire
Moleman Offline
On a journey
Moleman  Offline
On a journey

Joined: Jun 2009
Posts: 116
Lancashire
This is a mystifyingly tragic case, and now one of total confusion it seems. Five days on and still nothing.

My own personal theory is it may have suffered some kind of decompression issue (not necessarily explosive) and whilst the crew became hypoxic, in a confused state made things worse by changing course/altitude and switching things off like the transponder etc, and ended up passing out with the jet below radar coverage and heading out over the Indian ocean until it ran out of fuel (which would be a fair way).
Of course this raises even more questions to which I don’t have answers to!

However similar incidents have happened, Payne Stewart’s learjet crash, Helios flight 522, to name two.

But for the sake of the families of those caught up in all this, i hope something/anything is found soon. frown

Re: Flight MH 370 [Re: ] #1478601
12/03/2014 13:21
12/03/2014 13:21
Joined: Dec 2005
Posts: 21,071
Chertsey in the Thames
bockers Offline
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Chertsey in the Thames
It is the radar tracking issue that is confusing. It seems none of the information can be trusted any more as each piece of information given is subsequently denied or revised. It does begin to smack of a cover up, and that unfortunately will be fuel for conspiracy theories.

To disappear from radar the plane either exploded, had it's tracking turned off or descended below radar range, and so far there seems to be no evidence of any of those scenarios.

The dealing of this tragedy by the Malaysian authorities and MH is awful and goes against all airline procedures, I can't imagine what it must be like for the victims families not knowing anything and trusting no-one.

Re: Flight MH 370 [Re: ] #1478618
12/03/2014 14:48
12/03/2014 14:48
Joined: Jun 2009
Posts: 116
Lancashire
Moleman Offline
On a journey
Moleman  Offline
On a journey

Joined: Jun 2009
Posts: 116
Lancashire
This radar tracking issues bothers me too, If a flight over Europe or the states for example deviates from its planned flight path in heading or altitude even slightly air traffic will be on them very quickly, if they are unresponsive (radio/transponder code etc.) fighter jets are sent to intercept simple.
MH370 appears to have been off heading, off altitude, transponder off and not responding to radio calls.
The military defiantly tracked something over Strait of Malacca but are now not sure whether it was MH370 on not. Why was nothing sent up to identify it?

There is some sort of cover-up going on here, but I feel it is one of incompetence!

Re: Flight MH 370 [Re: ] #1478620
12/03/2014 14:56
12/03/2014 14:56

T
TbirdX
Unregistered
TbirdX
Unregistered
T



No where can I recall reading that the transponder was switched off, can someone point me to that please.

Re: Flight MH 370 [Re: ] #1478622
12/03/2014 15:05
12/03/2014 15:05
Joined: Jun 2009
Posts: 116
Lancashire
Moleman Offline
On a journey
Moleman  Offline
On a journey

Joined: Jun 2009
Posts: 116
Lancashire
We don’t know if it was switched off or not, just that it stopped transmitting (when the aircraft dropped off civilian radar systems). Either due to aircraft brake up, power loss or human input.

Re: Flight MH 370 [Re: ] #1478697
12/03/2014 23:25
12/03/2014 23:25

P
Pinnin
Unregistered
Pinnin
Unregistered
P



I haven't read too much about this situation but from what I have seen it does look strange.

However, the fact that no wreckage has been found doesn't surprise me. I used to fly Nimrods in the RAF and have been on many sea searches. What you have to appreciate is the sheer expanse of sea that there is. Yes there are ways to narrow down the search area but in this case there seems to be a doubt over where to even start, so it is literally a needle in a haystack exercise.

Also, even from low level (we used to fly as low as 200 feet) it is incredibly hard to spot small items, which if the aircraft has broken up may be the case. Large items may be picked up by search radar but sea state and swell height may be masking the return, or they may already have sunk.

Last edited by Pinnin; 12/03/2014 23:26.
Re: Flight MH 370 [Re: ] #1478720
13/03/2014 01:44
13/03/2014 01:44
Joined: Jun 2006
Posts: 23,300
North Wales
Theresa Offline
Former Presidentessa Club member 58
Theresa  Offline
Former Presidentessa Club member 58
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Joined: Jun 2006
Posts: 23,300
North Wales
Originally Posted By: Pinnin
I used to fly Nimrods in the RAF


My 7 year old Grandson would love you laugh They have a Nimrod at the RAF Museum at Cosford and it's his favourite plane.

Re: Flight MH 370 [Re: Theresa] #1478736
13/03/2014 08:16
13/03/2014 08:16
Joined: Dec 2005
Posts: 12,546
Northumberland
A
AndrewR Offline
I AM a Coop
AndrewR  Offline
I AM a Coop
A

Joined: Dec 2005
Posts: 12,546
Northumberland
Originally Posted By: Theresa
Originally Posted By: Pinnin
I used to fly Nimrods in the RAF


My 7 year old Grandson would love you laugh They have a Nimrod at the RAF Museum at Cosford and it's his favourite plane.


I think you just got insulted, Pinnin wink


Dear monos, a secret truth.
Re: Flight MH 370 [Re: AndrewR] #1478870
13/03/2014 22:12
13/03/2014 22:12

P
Pinnin
Unregistered
Pinnin
Unregistered
P



Originally Posted By: AndrewR
Originally Posted By: Theresa
Originally Posted By: Pinnin
I used to fly Nimrods in the RAF


My 7 year old Grandson would love you laugh They have a Nimrod at the RAF Museum at Cosford and it's his favourite plane.


I think you just got insulted, Pinnin wink


Theresa, it was a cracking aeroplane - sadly missed, your grandson has good taste!

Not at all Andrew it did look old and a bit of an oddity. On the subject of museums, I went to the National Museum of flight up here in Scotland to specifically show my daughter what I used to fly (she had been on one before but she was so young at the time that she can't remember). However, what they have is only the front section of the aircraft and we weren't allowed on. Seeing the old girl like that was actually quite an emotional experience...not sure how I would have coped had we been allowed on.... cry

Re: Flight MH 370 [Re: ] #1478875
13/03/2014 22:46
13/03/2014 22:46
Joined: Jun 2009
Posts: 116
Lancashire
Moleman Offline
On a journey
Moleman  Offline
On a journey

Joined: Jun 2009
Posts: 116
Lancashire
Originally Posted By: Pinnin
Originally Posted By: AndrewR
Originally Posted By: Theresa
Originally Posted By: Pinnin
I used to fly Nimrods in the RAF


My 7 year old Grandson would love you laugh They have a Nimrod at the RAF Museum at Cosford and it's his favourite plane.


I think you just got insulted, Pinnin wink


Theresa, it was a cracking aeroplane - sadly missed, your grandson has good taste!

Not at all Andrew it did look old and a bit of an oddity. On the subject of museums, I went to the National Museum of flight up here in Scotland to specifically show my daughter what I used to fly (she had been on one before but she was so young at the time that she can't remember). However, what they have is only the front section of the aircraft and we weren't allowed on. Seeing the old girl like that was actually quite an emotional experience...not sure how I would have coped had we been allowed on.... cry


I had the misfortune for witnessing the scrapping of the first production Nimrod MRA4 a couple of years ago.
An experience I will never forget, especially the sound!
It was effectively a brand new aircraft and was smashed to bits in less than a hour, such a waste.
But don't get me started.curse

Re: Flight MH 370 [Re: ] #1478928
14/03/2014 11:36
14/03/2014 11:36
Joined: Jun 2009
Posts: 116
Lancashire
Moleman Offline
On a journey
Moleman  Offline
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Joined: Jun 2009
Posts: 116
Lancashire
Right back on topic!

This incident is just getting stranger and stranger! crazy

news link

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